Reality of conflict in Ukraine in my opinion and what Germany can try to do so reality check.

Someone wrote so naively in the comments that they hope elections in Germany will change something and it’s all because of Scholz. I really sometimes envy normal naive people.

The only thing that Germany can do is to minimize damage. They are the only country in the EU and maybe Hungary that wants a peace deal. Everyone else wants Ukraine destroyed so they can later blame it on Putin and Russia to make sure that no more economic deals between Russia and Germany can be made. Right now Germany is pushing for a deal but a peace deal would mean Putin and Russia are not so bad and that’s not what they want. If Russia and the West make a peace deal it would mean Putin is not Hitler he is not pure evil since we make peace deals with him and if he is not so bad maybe after all we can make some economic deals with him so they can not allow this. So the West is pushing Ukraine to fight to the last Ukrainian because the more of them that die the more Ukraine is destroyed the bigger the image of Putin being pure evil the stronger the narrative and the less chances for economic deals between Germany and Russia.

For example, why does Ukraine hold on to Bakhmut for so long? In my opinion it’s because they don’t want to lose even a little and lose morale and make a peace deal. They want to lose as hard as they can, meaning to let as many Ukrainians die and let Ukraine get destroyed as much as possible before they they will lose and then make peace deal. If they were to lose Bakhmut earlier, people would start to ask the question: what is the point of this war if Russia will win anyway and people will start to question the lie that Ukraine will win. The most important thing the Ukrainians would start to question: what is the sense of this war. That’s why we have all this talk about tanks and planes.  Ukrainians believe our lies and so they will die and their country will be destroyed.

The German elections can not change anything, they can’t tell the truth but what they can do is make Ukrainians understand they are being used and that this war is pointless and convince them that they need to make a deal and look for some group of people in the Ukrainian government who would want to make a deal. The quicker a deal is made the better for Germany but worse for the West. I suspect Zelensky is a Western puppet. Maybe they want to just sacrifice him by blaming Bakhmut on him but maybe it’s Germany trying to remove Zelensky and replace him with someone who will make a deal. That’s what they can try to do, not some speech, some election or some legislation it’s not how the real world works.

Germany’s goal is now to make some revolt in Ukraine and make a peace deal but Western ruling elites are so smart or so lucky – I am betting for smart. Putin was okay with making deals without taking territory before Nord Stream was destroyed. That was also a sign for people who understand Nord Stream 2 and it was fully paid for by Russia and it was very important for them. Russia was not talking about any territorial annexation before Nord Stream was destroyed. Look just after Nord Stream was destroyed Putin made quick but unplanned announcement about annexation. It was his response to what happened saying you destroyed my Nord Stream. I am paying with my soldiers ‘ lives. I am taking land for that.

That’s a problem for Germany because the US propagated radical nationalism and Nazis in Ukraine and now you want to tell us that these brave Ukrainians in Mariupol and Bakhmut died for nothing and Ukraine will give that land to Russia. So there will be a lot of opposition to the peace deal, the US not for nothing propagated that radical nationalism. It was precisely so those  radical nationalist will die for their cause and so they can be used.

There is another question: will Russia even want any kind of deal? They will just sell oil to India and China or somewhere else not for as much but so be it they will manage. I am like 90% sure Putin will not give up those 4 regions, they were his payment for getting screwed over Nord Stream. There is a lot of nationalism in Ukraine so they will have problems with a peace deal which would include giving those regions to Russia. This problem is by design because of this problem there are big chances there will be no peace and Ukraine will fight until it will almost collapse. Poland is pushing it because if Ukraine is ruined to the point it can not sustain itself as its own country Poland has a stronger argument for taking its land.

I assume Putin knows about that plan and he is okay with that. He will just push to the Dnipro River then Poland will enter and secure Western Ukraine and Ukraine will end up split between Poland and Russia. Putin could be okay with that, especially since Sikorski said that Putin proposed splitting Ukraine with Poland before so he could be okay with that now. He just wanted 4 regions but if he will end up with half of Ukraine he will not cry. Of Course loot from his soldiers, many of whom will die and the war will be longer but he will get half of Ukraine so I wonder if he even wants to make peace at this point.

“I’m talking about the Americans who are sitting in Poland who are organized into these armored brigades and uh the 101st’s uh light infantry formations if they send those into the fight which is what they will have to do if they go into Ukraine they’re going to meet the Russians “ -Douglas MacGregor

Douglas MacGregor and Scott Ritter both talk about a possibility of Poland entering if I remember correctly. Thing is they think it’s a problem and it would cause conflict. They are not aware Putin offered Poland splitting Ukraine before so he can be okay with it. I said before that Putin’s offer to split Ukraine with Poland is not because he loves Poland but because Ukraine is too big and he would have problems with occupying the whole Ukraine. So Poland taking part of Ukraine plays into his hand and Poland and the US knows that and I assume count on that. Ukraine will not surrender, it will probably get destroyed so Germany and Russia can not make deals. The best thing is after all that Poland and the West will be called defenders of Ukraine and Ukrainians. We will literally do everything to destroy them and kill as many of them as possible and our narrative will speak about those wonderful people from the West who just wanted to help and save Ukraine. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Now for everyone who thinks that it’s crazy are people living in the world of the naïve. Destroying Ukraine will be just another on the list of achievements of our Western civilization. Now reality and morality check for you. We created ISIS, the radical Islamic state to steal Iraq’s resources. We created a radical Islamic state in Libya with open slaves markets to steal Libya’s resources, we created a radical Islamic organization in Afghanistan and we made Afghanistan the biggest exporter of opium in the world. Pushing Nazi ideology and destroying Ukraine will be just another on the list of achievements of our wonderful Western civilization.

Yes, but we in the West are the good guys, right?

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